Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.000249 0.000277 0.000308 0.000344 0.000385 0.000429 0.000482
2025-02-02 0.000202 0.000244 0.000294 0.000358 0.000437 0.000534 0.000660
2025-02-09 0.000166 0.000214 0.000273 0.000354 0.000462 0.000604 0.000806
2025-02-16 0.000145 0.000195 0.000261 0.000357 0.000493 0.000683 0.000971
2025-02-23 0.000127 0.000178 0.000248 0.000354 0.000512 0.000745 0.001121
2025-03-02 0.000115 0.000166 0.000240 0.000356 0.000538 0.000818 0.001297
2025-03-09 0.000104 0.000155 0.000231 0.000355 0.000557 0.000884 0.001469
2025-03-16 0.000092 0.000140 0.000214 0.000339 0.000550 0.000905 0.001569
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000133 0.000209 0.000341 0.000572 0.000976 0.001767
2025-03-30 0.000081 0.000130 0.000210 0.000354 0.000615 0.001089 0.002060
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000122 0.000200 0.000346 0.000618 0.001130 0.002221
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000111 0.000186 0.000328 0.000601 0.001130 0.002296
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000106 0.000183 0.000331 0.000625 0.001215 0.002575
2025-04-27 0.000060 0.000105 0.000185 0.000346 0.000676 0.001364 0.003025
2025-05-04 0.000056 0.000100 0.000179 0.000342 0.000687 0.001433 0.003307
2025-05-11 0.000053 0.000096 0.000176 0.000345 0.000714 0.001538 0.003698
2025-05-18 0.000050 0.000091 0.000171 0.000342 0.000727 0.001613 0.004029
2025-05-25 0.000047 0.000088 0.000168 0.000344 0.000750 0.001718 0.004464
2025-06-01 0.000044 0.000084 0.000164 0.000343 0.000767 0.001809 0.004879
2025-06-08 0.000041 0.000078 0.000154 0.000328 0.000748 0.001807 0.005026
2025-06-15 0.000039 0.000076 0.000152 0.000330 0.000771 0.001917 0.005536
2025-06-22 0.000038 0.000075 0.000154 0.000342 0.000823 0.002113 0.006367
2025-06-29 0.000035 0.000071 0.000148 0.000334 0.000821 0.002161 0.006727